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We provide high quality intelligence on U.S. natural gas market. Our data-driven analytics enables traders to make smart and well-informed decisions and to place trades with confidence and risk-awareness. We provide accurate natural gas storage forecast as well as an outlook for key market variables: production, consumption, imports and exports (including LNG).

Our Aim

By providing accurate, in-depth analysis of natural gas fundamentals, our aim is to help traders maximize returns and minimize the risks. 

Our Vision

Maximizing Trading Returns in Natural Gas Through Fundamental Analysis!

 

Natural Gas Market - Data and Forecasts

Bluegold Research (BGR) is an independent, employee-owned, boutique research firm specializing in providing fundamental analysis and trading analytics in the U.S. and global natural gas markets.

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  • 12-week storage forecast 
  • Consumption and production forecast
  • Exports and imports forecast (including LNG)
  • End-of-season storage forecast
  • Market sentiment
  • Weather outlook
  • Trading exposure and forward guidance
  • Technical analysis
  • Private chat room (Enelyst)
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Market Research

Global Crude Oil Market (Selected Analytics) - October 13, 2019
October 13, 2019  

for members only - available for members only
Natural Gas Market Overview: Annual Storage Surplus Keeps Growing But At A Slower Pace
October 11, 2019  
Total demand for natural gas is up 0.3% y-o-y to 80.60 bcf/d. We estimate that total demand has remained above the 5-year norm for 39 consecutive weeks now. Total supply is up 7.2% y-o-y to 100.4 bcf/d. We currently expect the EIA to report a build of 110 bcf next week, which is 28 bcf larger than a year ago and 29 bcf larger vs. the 5-year average. Actual supply-demand balance is still very bearish, but weather-neutral balance is tightening.
Detail
Natural Gas Storage Forecast: Annual Surplus Can Grow By More Than 100 Bcf Over The Next 4 Weeks
October 9, 2019  
This Thursday, we expect EIA to report 3,417 bcf of working gas in storage for the week ending October 4. We anticipate to see a build of 100 bcf, which is 9 bcf larger than a year ago and 11 bcf larger vs. the 5-year average. On average, the latest numerical weather prediction models (Wednesday's short-range 00z runs) are showing roughly normal amount of TDDs over the next 15 days (October 9-October 24). While total demand remains relatively strong, it is still not strong enough to shrink annual storage "surplus," which has built up over the past months. On a 4-hour chart, we see two bearish patterns: head and shoulders and inverse cup and handle, which call for a re-test of 2.250 and 2.200.
Detail
EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO): Evolution Of Forecasts - October 8, 2019
October 8, 2019  

for members only - available for members only

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Prices
Front month futures contract November (X)
Expiration date October 29
Henry Hub futures price, last close (USD/mmbtu) 2.280
Henry Hub spot price, last close (USD/mmbtu) 2.13

Last update: October 14, 2019.

Click here to see the forward curve and contract expiration dates.

Storage
Working gas in storage (bcf) 3,415
Surplus/deficit versus: 
a year ago +472
5-year average -9
5-year maximum -310
5-year minimum +472

Last update: October 10, 2019

Trading Commentary

Global Crude Oil Market (Selected Analytics) - October 13, 2019
October 13, 2019  

for members only - available for members only
Natural Gas Market Overview: Annual Storage Surplus Keeps Growing But At A Slower Pace
October 11, 2019  
Total demand for natural gas is up 0.3% y-o-y to 80.60 bcf/d. We estimate that total demand has remained above the 5-year norm for 39 consecutive weeks now. Total supply is up 7.2% y-o-y to 100.4 bcf/d. We currently expect the EIA to report a build of 110 bcf next week, which is 28 bcf larger than a year ago and 29 bcf larger vs. the 5-year average. Actual supply-demand balance is still very bearish, but weather-neutral balance is tightening.
Detail
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