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Our Product

We provide high quality intelligence on U.S. natural gas market. Our data-driven analytics enables traders to make smart and well-informed decisions and to place trades with confidence and risk-awareness. We provide accurate natural gas storage forecast as well as an outlook for key market variables: production, consumption, imports and exports (including LNG).

Our Aim

By providing accurate, in-depth analysis of natural gas fundamentals, our aim is to help traders maximize returns and minimize the risks. 

Our Vision

Maximizing Trading Returns in Natural Gas Through Fundamental Analysis!

 

Natural Gas Market - Data and Forecast

Bluegold Research (BGR) is an independent, employee-owned, boutique research firm covering U.S. natural gas market. BGR was born as a result of a merger between two proprietary trading firms that had to separate their trading and research departments.

We specialize in fundamental analysis and provide daily update on the most critical natural gas data. Because we provide both a long-term outlook and a short-term view of the marketplace, our projections enable traders to make high-quality, well-informed and confident trading decisions.

To see our forecasting track record, please click here.

Most of our charts and tables are updated on a daily and weekly basis (click here to see the schedule). Some of them are available for free, others are open to members only. If you want to obtain full access and use more advanced data sets, such as days of supply and end-of-season storage indices, please join our membership club.

Full Access:
$1.20 per day*

  • 12-week storage forecast 
  • Consumption and production forecast
  • Exports and imports forecast (including LNG)
  • End-of-season storage forecast
  • Market sentiment
  • Weather outlook
  • Trading exposure and forward guidance
  • Technical analysis
  • Private chat room (Enelyst)
  • Discounts on future services

* best offer (12-month membership). Click HERE to see a full list of options. Please note, that you only pay when you wish to pay. Memberships will not auto-renew. You will not be charged automatically when your membership expires. To become a member, please register and top-up your account.

Market Research

Global Crude Oil Market (Selected Analytics) - August 18, 2019
August 18, 2019  

for members only - available for members only

August 8, 2019  
Natural gas consumption for May was the highest level for the month since 2001 when EIA began using the current definitions for consuming sectors. External demand also remained elevated, mostly due to stronger pipeline exports into Canada and robust sales of liquefied natural gas. Next year, the share of exports will overtake the share of residential consumption in the total demand mix. We currently project that national natural gas consumption will be rising by around 2.92% y-o-y (on average) over the next three months (August to October). We currently expect to see just +380 bcf in storage by October 2019 (vs. October 2018).
Detail
July 31, 2019  
United States has produced 16,241 bcf of natural gas in the first half of 2019 (89.73 bcf/d), 12% more than over the same period in 2018. The results for the second half of the year and for 2020 are expected to be a lot less impressive. Cash is drying up, drilling activity is slowing down, the appetite for expansion/exploitation has diminished. Permian and Marcellus regions now generate more than 50% of nationwide natural gas production. Large charts gallery is attached (scroll down).
Detail
July 29, 2019  
Total demand for natural gas is up 1.9% y-o-y to 87.3 bcf/d. Total demand has been expanding in annual terms for 13 consecutive weeks now. Total supply is up 6.5% y-o-y to 97.20 bcf/d. We currently expect the EIA to report a build of 54 bcf this week. Consumption per degree day has reached a new all-time high.
Detail

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Prices
Front month futures contract September (U)
Expiration date August 28
Henry Hub futures price, last close (USD/mmbtu) 2.210
Henry Hub spot price, last close (USD/mmbtu) 2.26

Last update: August 19, 2019.

Click here to see the forward curve and contract expiration dates.

Storage
Working gas in storage (bcf) 2,738
Surplus/deficit versus: 
a year ago +357
5-year average -111
5-year maximum -592
5-year minimum +357

Last update: August 15, 2019

Trading Commentary

Global Crude Oil Market (Selected Analytics) - August 18, 2019
August 18, 2019  

for members only - available for members only

August 8, 2019  
Natural gas consumption for May was the highest level for the month since 2001 when EIA began using the current definitions for consuming sectors. External demand also remained elevated, mostly due to stronger pipeline exports into Canada and robust sales of liquefied natural gas. Next year, the share of exports will overtake the share of residential consumption in the total demand mix. We currently project that national natural gas consumption will be rising by around 2.92% y-o-y (on average) over the next three months (August to October). We currently expect to see just +380 bcf in storage by October 2019 (vs. October 2018).
Detail
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