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We provide high quality intelligence on U.S. natural gas market. Our data-driven analytics enables traders to make smart and well-informed decisions and to place trades with confidence and risk-awareness. We provide accurate natural gas storage forecast as well as an outlook for key market variables: production, consumption, imports and exports (including LNG).

Our Aim

By providing accurate, in-depth analysis of natural gas fundamentals, our aim is to help traders maximize returns and minimize the risks. 

Our Vision

Maximizing Trading Returns in Natural Gas Through Fundamental Analysis!

 

Natural Gas Market - Data and Forecasts

Bluegold Research (BGR) is an independent provider of market information and trading analytics for the U.S. natural gas market. We provide extensive coverage and in-depth analysis along with the trading commentary, forward guidance and actionable weather forecasts. We help our customers make confident trading decisions.

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Bluegold Research makes sense of market data so you don't have to. We collect loads of information and analytics and use it to produce a clear picture on the current and future trends in the US natural gas market. Because we provide both a long-term outlook and a short-term view of the marketplace, our projections enable traders to make high-quality, well-informed and confident trading decisions.

Full Access:
$1.20 per day*
WEATHER FUNDAMENTAL VARIABLES STORAGE
  • Short-range forecast (GFS, ECMWF)
  • Extended-range outlook (ECMWF)
  • Long-term projections (CFSv2)
  • Dry gas production
  • National consumption
  • Exports (inc. LNG)
  • Imports
  • SD balance
  • Coal-to-gas switching
  • Market expectations
  • Short-term forecast
  • Mid-term forecast
  • End-of-season storage indices
PRICES TRADING VIEW SPECIAL REPORTS
  • U.S. spot/cash prices
  • NYMEX futures seasonality
  • Gulf Coast LNG
  • European prices (NBP, TTF)
  • Regional LNG prices
  • Trading positions
  • Levels and targets
  • Forward guidance
  • Risks and trends
  • Oil Products Inventories at Five Major Ports
  • EIA STEO (Evolution of Forecasts)
  • LNG Report (to be launched soon)
MARKET SENTIMENT AUXILIARY INDICATORS FREQUENT UPDATES
  • CFTC COT reports (oil and natural gas)
  • Retail sentiment
  • Evolution of forecasts
  • Expectations gap
  • Days of supply
  • Weather-neutral SD balance
  • TS / TD curves
  • 04:00 AM EDT
  • 4:00 PM EDT
  • + live chat (Enelyst)
* best offer (12-month membership). Click HERE to see a full list of options. Please note that you only pay when you wish to pay. Memberships will not auto-renew. Your card will NOT be charged once your membership expires. To become a member, please register, log in and purchae any amount of subscription days that you wish. 

Natgas Futures, LNG And International Prices

12-Nov-19 United States United Kingdom Netherlands OIL**
NYMEX HH NYMEX HH STRIP Gulf Coast LNG NBP* TTF* WTI BRENT
Daily close (USD per MMBtu) $2.621 $2.51 $3.66 $5.23 $5.00 $56.80 $62.06
% change
daily -0.6% -0.2% -2.6% -2.1% -2.1% -0.1% -0.2%
weekly -8.4% -2.7% -3.6% -7.4% -7.4% -0.8% -1.4%
monthly 18.4% 4.8% -16.9% -1.9% -3.7% 3.8% 2.6%
annual -30.8% -18.1% -54.1% -43.5% -41.9% -5.2% -11.5%
Last update: November 13, 2019, 3:00 EST

Natural Gas Inventories (Regions)

01-Nov-19 Natural Gas Inventories (Regions)
East Midwest Mountain Pacific S. Central Salt
BCF 932 1109 207 292 1189 303
% change
weekly 19 14 -4 -6 11 10
monthly* 78 100 4 -4 135 74
annual 102 132 25 27 244 53
vs 5-Y av. 29 33 -6 -35 7 -27
vs 5-Y min. 102 132 25 27 244 53
vs 5-Y max. -11 -31 -44 -86 -143 -77
Last update: November 7, 2019, 10:57 EST


Market Research

Global Crude Oil Market (Selected Analytics) - November 10, 2019
November 10, 2019  

for members only - available for members only

November 6, 2019  
This Thursday, we expect EIA to report 3,735 bcf of working gas in storage for the week ending November 1. We anticipate to see a build of 40 bcf, which is 23 bcf smaller than a year ago and 17 bcf smaller vs. the 5-year average. On average, the latest numerical weather prediction models (Wednesday's short-range 00z runs) are showing above-normal amount of TDDs over the next 15 days (November 6-November 14). In the week ending November 8, we expect total supply-demand balance to be 4.5 bcf/d looser (vs. 2018). Annual storage "surplus" will probably grow by 19 bcf this November.
Detail
November 5, 2019  
The weight of the Electric Power sector in the natural gas market continues to grow. The share of natural gas-fired generation has reached an all-time high. Average NG/Coal spread has skyrocketed, as natural gas price surged by more than 20%, while coal prices remained essentially unchanged. Coal-to-gas switching is around 5.4 bcf/d, some 0.1 bcf/d below last year's level and 0.4 bcf/d below 5-year average. Wind, hydro, and solar generation can displace no less than 4.5 bcf/d of potential natural gas consumption in the Electric Power sector in November. Total natural gas balance in November should be looser than last year, but only by around +0.6 bcf/day.
Detail
November 1, 2019  
Total demand for natural gas is up 13.0% y-o-y to 94.9 bcf/d. Total supply is up 7.2% y-o-y to 102.4 bcf/d. We currently expect the EIA to report a build of 38 bcf next week, which is 25 bcf smaller than a year ago and 19 bcf smaller vs. 5-year average. We expect dry gas production to peak this year and remain essentially flat for the whole of 2020. Natural gas storage "surplus" relative to the 5-year average will briefly turn into "deficit".
Detail
October 30, 2019  
This Thursday, we expect EIA to report 3,696 bcf of working gas in storage for the week ending October 25. We anticipate to see a build of 90 bcf, which is 41 bcf larger than a year ago and 25 bcf larger vs. the 5-year average. On average, the latest numerical weather prediction models (Wednesday's short-range 00z runs) are showing above normal amount of TDDs over the next 15 days (October 30-November 14). In the week ending November 8, we expect total supply-demand balance to be 2.2 bcf/d tighter (vs. 2018). Annual storage "surplus" will probably grow by around 100 bcf this November.
Detail
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