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We provide high quality intelligence on U.S. natural gas market. Our data-driven analytics enables traders to make smart and well-informed decisions and to place trades with confidence and risk-awareness. We provide accurate natural gas storage forecast as well as an outlook for key market variables: production, consumption, imports and exports (including LNG).

Our Aim

By providing accurate, in-depth analysis of natural gas fundamentals, our aim is to help traders maximize returns and minimize the risks. 

Our Vision

Maximizing Trading Returns in Natural Gas Through Fundamental Analysis!

 

Natural Gas Market - Data and Forecasts

Bluegold Research (BGR) is an independent provider of market information and trading analytics for the U.S. natural gas market. We provide extensive coverage and in-depth analysis along with the trading commentary, forward guidance and actionable weather forecasts. We help our customers make confident trading decisions.

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Bluegold Research makes sense of market data so you don't have to. We collect loads of information and analytics and use it to produce a clear picture on the current and future trends in the US natural gas market. Because we provide both a long-term outlook and a short-term view of the marketplace, our projections enable traders to make high-quality, well-informed and confident trading decisions.

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WEATHER FUNDAMENTAL VARIABLES STORAGE
  • Short-range forecast (GFS, ECMWF)
  • Extended-range outlook (ECMWF)
  • Long-term projections (CFSv2)
  • Dry gas production
  • National consumption
  • Exports (inc. LNG)
  • Imports
  • SD balance
  • Coal-to-gas switching
  • Market expectations
  • Short-term forecast
  • Mid-term forecast
  • End-of-season storage indices
PRICES TRADING VIEW SPECIAL REPORTS
  • U.S. spot/cash prices
  • NYMEX futures seasonality
  • Gulf Coast LNG
  • European prices (NBP, TTF)
  • Regional LNG prices
  • Trading positions
  • Levels and targets
  • Forward guidance
  • Risks and trends
  • Oil Products Inventories at Five Major Ports
  • EIA STEO (Evolution of Forecasts)
  • LNG Report (to be launched soon)
MARKET SENTIMENT AUXILIARY INDICATORS FREQUENT UPDATES
  • CFTC COT reports (oil and natural gas)
  • Retail sentiment
  • Evolution of forecasts
  • Expectations gap
  • Days of supply
  • Weather-neutral SD balance
  • TS / TD curves
  • 04:00 AM EDT
  • 4:00 PM EDT
  • + live chat (Enelyst)
* best offer (12-month membership). Click HERE to see a full list of options. Please note that you only pay when you wish to pay. Memberships will not auto-renew. Your card will NOT be charged once your membership expires. To become a member, please register, log in and purchae any amount of subscription days that you wish. 

Natgas Futures, LNG And International Prices

16-Jan-20 United States United Kingdom Netherlands OIL**
NYMEX HH NYMEX HH STRIP Gulf Coast LNG NBP* TTF* WTI BRENT
Daily close (USD per MMBtu) $2.077 $2.43 $2.40 $3.77 $3.64 $58.52 $64.62
% change
daily -2.0% 0.2% -5.9% -1.6% -1.2% 1.2% 1.0%
weekly -4.1% 0.0% -13.5% -6.2% -6.4% -1.7% -1.1%
monthly -11.3% 4.7% -30.7% -20.1% -20.0% -2.8% -1.1%
annual -38.6% -10.1% -61.6% -51.7% -51.0% 11.9% 5.4%
Last update: January 17, 2020, 0:35 EST

Natural Gas Inventories (Regions)

10-Jan-20 Natural Gas Inventories (Regions)
East Midwest Mountain Pacific S. Central Salt
BCF 716 851 161 235 1076 320
% change
weekly -40 -34 -5 -9 -21 -3
monthly* -122 -122 -25 -38 -66 1
annual 92 117 33 38 214 17
vs 5-Y av. 39 55 2 -21 74 23
vs 5-Y min. 92 117 33 38 214 109
vs 5-Y max. -73 -73 -28 -56 -169 -39
Last update: January 16, 2020, 10:38 EST


Market Research

January 2, 2020  
The weight of the Electric Power sector in the natural gas market continues to grow. NG/Coal spread has declined, meaning that natural gas became more competitive (vs. coal) as a "feedstock" for electricity generation. Coal-to-gas-switching currently stands at around 6.7 bcf/d, some 1.1 bcf/d above five-year average and 1.2 bcf/d above last year's level. Wind, hydro, and solar generation can displace no less than 3.0 bcf/d of potential natural gas consumption in the Electric Power sector in January. Total natural gas balance in January is currently projected to be looser than last year by around +4.9 bcf/day.
Detail
December 20, 2019  
Total demand for U.S. natural gas is up 22.2% y-o-y to 128 bcf/d. Total U.S. natural gas supply is up 7.1% y-o-y to 103.7 bcf/d. We currently expect the EIA to report a draw of 155 bcf next week, which is 94 bcf larger than a year ago and 54 bcf larger vs. the five-year average. Non-degree-day factors currently add as much as 1.7 bcf/d of extra natural gas consumption in the Electric Power sector (compared to last year). Annual storage surplus should continue to shrink, but the rate depends on the weather outlook.
Detail
December 18, 2019  
This Thursday, we expect EIA to report 3,416 bcf of working gas in storage for the week ending December 13. We anticipate to see a draw of 102 bcf, which is 30 bcf smaller than a year ago and 10 bcf smaller vs. the 5-year average. Next week (ending December 27), the weather conditions are expected to get substantially warmer, but annual storage "surplus" is still projected to shrink. Non-degree-day factors are having a bullish impact on potential natural gas consumption (compared to 2018).
Detail
Global Crude Oil Market (Selected Analytics) - December 15, 2019
December 15, 2019  

for members only - available for members only

December 14, 2019  
Total demand for U.S. natural gas is up 0.3% y-o-y to 114.9 bcf/d. Total U.S. natural gas supply is up 7.5% y-o-y to 103.8 bcf/d. We currently expect the EIA to report a draw of 98 bcf next week, which is 34 bcf smaller than a year ago and 14 bcf smaller vs. the five-year average. Non-degree-day factors currently add as much as 2.4 bcf/d of extra natural gas consumption in the Electric Power sector (compared to last year). Annual storage surplus is projected to shrink, but the rate depends on the weather outlook.
Detail
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