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Our Product

We provide high quality intelligence on U.S. natural gas market. Our data-driven analytics enables traders to make smart and well-informed decisions and to place trades with confidence and risk-awareness. We provide accurate natural gas storage forecast as well as an outlook for key market variables: production, consumption, imports and exports (including LNG).

Our Aim

By providing accurate, in-depth analysis of natural gas fundamentals, our aim is to help traders maximize returns and minimize the risks. 

Our Vision

Maximizing Trading Returns in Natural Gas Through Fundamental Analysis!

 

Natural Gas Market - Data and Forecast

Bluegold Research (BGR) is an independent, employee-owned, boutique research firm covering U.S. natural gas market. BGR was born as a result of a merger between two proprietary trading firms that had to separate their trading and research departments.

We specialize in fundamental analysis and provide daily update on the most critical natural gas data. Because we provide both a long-term outlook and a short-term view of the marketplace, our projections enable traders to make high-quality, well-informed and confident trading decisions.

To see our forecasting track record, please click here.

Most of our charts and tables are updated on a daily and weekly basis (click here to see the schedule). Some of them are available for free, others are open to members only. If you want to obtain full access and use more advanced data sets, such as days of supply and end-of-season storage indices, please join our membership club.

Full Access:
$1.20 per day*
  • 12-week storage forecast 
  • Consumption and production forecast
  • Exports and imports forecast (including LNG)
  • End-of-season storage forecast
  • Market sentiment
  • Weather outlook
  • Trading exposure and forward guidance
  • Technical analysis
  • Private chat room (Enelyst)
  • Discounts on future services
* best offer (12-month membership). Click HERE to see a full list of options. Please note, that you only pay when you wish to pay. Memberships will not auto-renew. You will not be charged automatically when your membership expires. To become a member, please register and top-up your account.

Market Research

Natural Gas Trading: Pricing In The 'Highly Improbable'
June 5, 2019  
This Thursday, we expect EIA to report 1,979 bcf of working gas in storage for the week ending May 31. We anticipate to see a build of 112 bcf, which is 10 bcf larger than 5-year average. Dry gas production has failed to set a new all-time high for 46 consecutive days now. The market is very bearish and is pricing in the highly improbable scenario.
Detail
Natural Gas And The Electric Power Sector: What Are The Latest Trends?
June 3, 2019  
Electric Power sector is the primary consumer of natural gas. Coal prices plunge, natural gas prices follow. Coal-to-gas switching outlook was revised higher but not by as much as was projected before. The total stock of natural gas-fired power plants continues to increase. Total natural gas balance in June will be looser than last year by around 4.0 bcf/day.
Detail
Natural Gas Trading: Buying The Dips In July Contract
May 29, 2019  
This Thursday, we expect EIA to report 1,856 bcf of working gas in storage for the week ending May 24. We anticipate to see a build of 103 bcf, which is 6 bcf larger than 5-year average. Dry gas production has failed to set a new all-time high for 61 consecutive days now. Our EOS storage index remains below market expectations. We have been buying the dips in July contract.
Detail
Natural Gas Fundamentals: EOS Storage Indices Are Below Market Expectations
May 24, 2019  
Total demand for American natural gas is down 1.3% w-o-w to 79.40 bcf per day. Total natural gas supply is down 0.20% w-o-w to 96.90 bcf per day. Nuclear outages remain below the norm. Coal-to-gas-swtiching is starting to put a bullish pressure on our EOS storage indices. We currently expect EIA to report a build of 106 bcf next week.
Detail

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Prices
Front month futures contract July (M)
Expiration date June 26
Henry Hub futures price, last close (USD/mmbtu) 2.328
Henry Hub spot price, last close (USD/mmbtu) 2.44

Last update: June 18, 2019.

Click here to see the forward curve and contract expiration dates.

Storage
Working gas in storage (bcf) 1,986
Surplus/deficit versus: 
a year ago +182
5-year average -240
5-year maximum -958
5-year minimum +472

Last update: June 6, 2019

Trading Commentary

Natural Gas Trading: Pricing In The 'Highly Improbable'
June 5, 2019  
This Thursday, we expect EIA to report 1,979 bcf of working gas in storage for the week ending May 31. We anticipate to see a build of 112 bcf, which is 10 bcf larger than 5-year average. Dry gas production has failed to set a new all-time high for 46 consecutive days now. The market is very bearish and is pricing in the highly improbable scenario.
Detail
Natural Gas And The Electric Power Sector: What Are The Latest Trends?
June 3, 2019  
Electric Power sector is the primary consumer of natural gas. Coal prices plunge, natural gas prices follow. Coal-to-gas switching outlook was revised higher but not by as much as was projected before. The total stock of natural gas-fired power plants continues to increase. Total natural gas balance in June will be looser than last year by around 4.0 bcf/day.
Detail
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