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Trading Guide

Bluegold Research is not a registered broker, broker dealer, analyst, investment advisor, investment marketer, investment banker or underwriter. Bluegold Research is not a regulated entity. Bluegold Research does not provide any investment advice


IMPORTANT DISTINCTION

There is a distinction between our market analytics and our trading exposure. Our market analytics and forecasts (particularly, storage forecast) are based on objective, very sophisticated, high-quality computer models. However, our trading decisions are based on subjective interpretation of that analytics and subjective views about what is being priced in by the market and what is not. Therefore, we can be wrong on the price action but at the same time turn out to be correct on the storage forecast and other fundamentals. You can rely on and trust our market analytics (particularly, storage forecast), but you should always trust your own feelings and views when it comes to trading


TRADING STYLE

Natural gas is a unique commodity in many ways. It is very volatile and reactionary. We prefer to follow very strict capital management rules (trade small positions). Usually, we do not use stop-losses - especially, not during the injection season (April-October). Instead, we insure ourselves by maintaining a conservative level of exposure relative to total equity. In other words, strict capital management serves as a substitute for a stop-loss.

Special Note on ETNs

The ETNs (UGAZ and DGAZ) do not attempt to, and should not be expected to, provide returns which achieve their stated investment objectives for holding periods other than a single day. If you hold the ETNs for more than one day, it is possible that you will suffer significant losses in the ETNs even if the performance of the underlying index over the time you hold the ETNs is positive, in the case of the leveraged long ETNs, or negative, in the case of the leveraged inverse ETNs.

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