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Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Outlook

July 2018

  Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
SUPPLY
Marketed production (bcf/day) 88.84 (+0.55) 89.03 (+0.70) 89.45 (+0.76) 89.86 (+0.68) 90.17 (+0.69)
Total imports (bcf/day) 7.40 (-0.18) 7.32 (-0.20) 7.33 (-0.20) 7.61 (-0.21) 8.54 (-0.22)
DEMAND
Total consumption (bcf/day) 71.69 (+0.23) 66.44 (+0.15) 67.63 (-0.47) 79.05 (-1.21) 96.43 (-0.92)
Total exports (bcf/day) 9.95 (-0.06) 9.98 (-0.05) 10.49 (-0.04) 11.28 (-0.04) 11.84 (-0.23)
INVENTORIES
Working gas inventory (bcf) 2748 (-48) 3143 (-46) 3504 (-27) 3483 (+7) 2972 (+22)
PRICE
Henry Hub Spot Price ($/1,000 cf) 3.10 (-0.02) 3.10 (-0.04) 3.14 3.19 3.34

Last update: June 12. Next update - July 10.

The table shows the latest EIA forecast for key natural gas fundamentals. The changes (in the brackets) from the previous forecast are colored in accordance with their notional effect on the price. For example, an increase in consumption should have a positive effect (green color), whereas an increase in production has a negative effect (red color). 

Updated monthly.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bluegold Research calculations

 

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