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Energy Information Administration (EIA) Natural Gas Outlook

September 2018

  Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
SUPPLY
Marketed production (bcf/day) 89.10 (-0.17) 89.44 (-0.21) 89.70 (-0.23) 90.05 (-0.15) 90.53 (+0.01)
Total imports (bcf/day) 7.30 7.60 8.55 (+0.01) 9.30 (-0.20) 8.38 (-0.24)
DEMAND
Total consumption (bcf/day) 67.73 (+0.18) 79.25 (+0.33) 96.34 (+0.98) 104.45 (+1.11) 98.87 (+1.35)
Total exports (bcf/day) 10.36 (-0.11) 11.22 (-0.09) 12.24 (+0.04) 12.68 (+0.12) 13.39 (+0.23)
INVENTORIES
Working gas inventory (bcf) 3308 (-35) 3275 (-36) 2767 (-34) 2034 (-31) 1526 (-26)
PRICE
Henry Hub Spot Price ($/1,000 cf) 3.16 (+0.06) 3.23 (+0.07) 3.39 (+0.06) 3.42 (+0.06) 3.38 (+0.04)

Last update: September 11. Next update - October 10.

The table shows the latest EIA forecast for key natural gas fundamentals. The changes (in the brackets) from the previous forecast are colored in accordance with their notional effect on the price. For example, an increase in consumption should have a positive effect (green color), whereas an increase in production has a negative effect (red color). 

Updated monthly.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bluegold Research calculations

 

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