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Weather-Neutral Supply-Demand Balance (change, y-o-y)


       
  1 Year   3 Years   5 Years   Max
Last update: July 21, 2019, 17:05 EDT
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Description

This chart shows y-o-y (annual) change in U.S dry gas production, imports, exports and "weather-neutral SD balance". The change is calculated in billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d). "Weather-neutral SD balance" (dull yellow curve) = production plus imports minus exports.

Historical data is available from January 9, 2009.

The chart is interactive. You can click on any series in the legend to hide/show the data. You can also click on the chart and drag out a specific area you wish to zoom. Alternatively, use calendar filter to select a specific data range. Also, to print or download the chart, click on the "menu" button in the top right corner of the chart.

Update: every weekday + Sunday afternoon.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Bluegold Research estimates and calculations

Traders' Note

Weather-neutral SD balance (WNSDB) = production plus imports minus exports. Effectively, WNSDB shows the strength of the underlying supply.

  • When WNSDB is above zero, it means that net-supply is expanding in annual terms.
  • When WNSDB is below zero, it means that net-supply is shrinking in annual terms.

As a rule, the bulls want WNSDB to remain positive and trend up, while the bears want WNSDB to remain negative and trend down. 

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